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Take Me Out to the Ballgame – 2013 Prequel

With the 2013 MLS season just around the corner, here’s a look back at recent MLS attendance and a few other things. I’ll have my annual crystal ball post online later this week.

5 year comparison
  Avg +/- GP
 2008   16,460     210 
 2009   16,037   -2.57%   225 
 2010   16,675   3.98%   240 
 2011   17,869   7.16%   306 
 2012   18,798   5.20%   323 
2008 210 Game Season – 2009 225 Game Season
 2010 240 Game Season – 2011 306 Game Season
 2012 323 Game Season

5 year comparison
  Average Median %<10K %>18k
 2008    16,460     15,188    10.95%   33.81% 
 2009    16,037     14,686    14.67%   31.11% 
 2010    16,675     15,332    7.50%   36.25% 
 2011    17,869     17,639    5.56%   48.69% 
 2012    18,798     18,393    1.86%   54.18% 

MLS Attendance – Equal # of Home Games
  2011 2012  
  Att Cap Att Att +/- GP % of Cap Cap
 Seattle  38,495   ??   43,104   11.97%   17   96.66%   44,594 
 LA Galaxy  23,335   86.43%   23,136   -0.85%   17   85.69%   27,000 
 Montréal  NA  NA  22,772   NA  17   71.15%   32,005 
 Houston  17,694   80.28%   20,946   18.38%   17   95.04%   22,039 
 Portland  18,827   101.07%   20,438   8.56%   17   100.00%   20,438 
 Vancouver  20,408   97.18%   19,475   -4.57%   17   92.74%   21,000 
 Sporting KC  17,810   96.44%   19,404   8.95%   17   105.08%   18,467 
 Salt Lake  17,594   87.94%   19,087   8.49%   17   95.40%   20,008 
 Red Bulls  19,691   78.17%   18,281   -7.16%   17   72.58%   25,189 
 Toronto  20,267   92.21%   18,155   -10.42%   17   82.60%   21,978 
 Philadelphia  18,258   98.69%   18,053   -1.12%   17   97.58%   18,500 
 Chicago  14,273   78.92%   16,407   14.95%   17   82.03%   20,000 
 Colorado  14,838   74.19%   15,175   2.27%   17   83.90%   18,086 
 Columbus  12,185   59.57%   14,397   18.15%   17   70.38%   20,455 
 FC Dallas  12,861   54.92%   14,139   9.94%   17   66.72%   21,193 
 NE Revs  13,222   58.76%   14,001   5.90%   17   62.23%   22,500 
 D.C. United  15,196   77.35%   13,846   -8.88%   17   70.47%   19,647 
 San Jose  11,858   112.67%   13,293   12.10%   17   86.81%   15,313 
 ChivasUSA  14,830   68.41%   13,056   -11.96%   17   69.45%   18,800 



My disclaimer about the capacity calculations


For my 2011 calculations, I took the 3 teams playing in football stadiums, DCU in RFK, Houston in Robertson and New England in Foxboro and assigned maximum capacities as follows, DCU-22,500, Houston-22,500 and New England-22,500. I took the 22,500 from an approximate average of the soccer specific stadiums in use. Capacities were adjusted for the few games that were moved to larger venues. For 2012, Chivas USA has reconfigured the Home Depot Center for its home games such that the capacity is now 18,800. Also in 2012, Houston moved into its new home, BBVA Compass Stadium, with a soccer capacity of 22,000. And the new 2 year lease agreement between DC and DC United calls for a reconfiguration to 19,647 seats for MLS games at RFK Stadium. Portland seems to have increased it’s capacity to 20,438. Montréal played its first five home games at Olympic Stadium, with a capacity of 60,000. I’ve added 2,200 seats to the Sounders’ capacity as they’ve opened up the Hawk’s nest(thank you Charles) in Seattle.
Additional note: Over the years, several stadiums’ capacities have been reported with different numbers. For example, I used 20,455 for Columbus in 2011. If any of you have the accurate soccer capacity for stadiums that differ from mine, please let me know. Seattle has been opening the upper deck for some matches, so it’s difficult to give accurate capacities for their season.


  • Eleven of 2011′s eighteen teams had average attendance increases in 2012.
  • The shine is off in Toronto. Now like any other team, they must start to win to regain their ‘always full’ house.


    So How Did They Finish?

    East
       GP   W   D   L   GF   GA   GFA   GAA   PPG   PTS   GD 
     y-SKC  34   18   9   7   42   27   1.24   0.79   1.85   63   15 
     y-DC United  34   17   7   10   53   43   1.56   1.26   1.71   58   10 
     y-RBNY  34   16   9   9   57   46   1.68   1.35   1.68   57   11 
     y-Chicago  34   17   6   11   46   41   1.35   1.21   1.68   57   5 
     y-Houston  34   14   11   9   48   41   1.41   1.21   1.56   53   7 
     Columbus  34   15   7   12   44   44   1.29   1.29   1.53   52   0 
     Montréal  34   12   6   16   45   51   1.32   1.50   1.24   42   -6 
     Philadelphia  34   10   6   18   37   45   1.09   1.32   1.06   36   -8 
     NE Revs  34   9   8   17   39   44   1.15   1.29   1.03   35   -5 
     Toronto FC  34   5   8   21   35   61   1.03   1.79   0.68   23   -26 
    West
       GP   W   D   L   GF   GA   GFA   GAA   PPG   PTS   GD 
     xy-San Jose  34   19   9   6   72   43   2.12   1.26   1.94   66   29 
     y-Salt Lake  34   17   6   11   46   35   1.35   1.03   1.68   57   11 
     y-Seattle  34   15   11   8   50   32   1.47   0.94   1.65   56   18 
     y-LA  34   16   6   12   59   47   1.74   1.38   1.59   54   12 
     y-Vancouver  34   11   10   13   35   41   1.03   1.21   1.26   43   -6 
     Dallas  34   9   12   13   42   47   1.24   1.38   1.15   39   -5 
     Colorado  34   11   4   19   44   50   1.29   1.47   1.09   37   -6 
     Portland  34   8   10   16   34   56   1.00   1.65   1.00   34   -22 
     Chivas USA  34   7   9   18   24   58   0.71   1.71   0.88   30   -34 


    Top 5 conference finishers qualify for MLS Cup Playoffs.
    x=Supporters’ Shield Champion
    y=clinched playoff position


    Tiebreakers: 1-Goals Scored(Full Season), 2-Goal Differential(Full Season),3- Fewest Disciplinary Pts
    4-Road Goals(Full Season), 5-Road Goal Differential, 6-Home Goals(Full Season), 7-Road Goal Differential


    Observations


    Montréal gave a boost to the league’s average attendance with over 22,000. Seattle’s capacity continues to be a moving target.


    MLS has now weathered the poor economy fairly well. Average attendance was up 5.2% compared to 2011. Below is a table comparing the average attendance figures of MLS to the ‘Big Four’.

    Average Attendances
    League 2011 2012 +/- %
     MLS  17,869   18,798   5.20% 
     NBA  17,319   17,274   -0.26% 
     NHL  17,126   17,455   1.92% 
     MLB  30,352   30,895   1.79% 
     NFL  67,396   67,632   0.35% 


    Streaking

    • Chivas USA are winless in 14 matches(8 road, 6 home).
    • Columbus are undefeated in 9 home matches.
    • DC United are undefeated in 16 home matches.
    • Houston is undefeated in 24 home matches, dating back to 2011.
    • Houston are winless in 5 road matches.
    • San Jose is undefeated in 15 home matches.
    • San Jose is undefeated in 9 matches.
    • Sporting KC is undefeated in 12 matches.
    • Toronto are winless in 14 matches.
    • Vancouver are winless in 10 road matches.


    MLS Throw Ins


  • In 2012, four teams won 50% or more of its games. Only LA did in 2011.
  • Seattle set an MLS single season attendance record, repeating this feat every year since joining MLS in 2009. They continue to add seats to fill demand.
  • Goal scoring was up in 2012(2.64 per game vs 2.58 in 2011).


    Moving forward, this season will again see an unbalanced scheduled, There will be 323 matches this season.


  • Last year it was San Jose rumblin’, bumblin’ and stumbin’(thanks Chris Berman) their way to a new stadium. This year it’s DC United’s turn.
  • Chivas USA, a poor marketing strategy from the git go(in my opinion), is a story to watch this year.
  • David Beckham is gone. Since he arrived, the league’s average attendance is up over 14%. The only ‘big four’ sport to increase over the same period is the NHL, at 0.85%.
  • Here are the new roster rules for 2013.





    MLS In CONCACAF Champions League


    Three MLS teams have made it to the final 8 in the 2012-13 CCL, Seattle, Houston and Los Angeles.


    Houston hosts Santos Laguna, UANL hosts Seattle and Herediano hosts Los Angeles in the first legs of the quarterfinals midweek after MLS opening weekend. The 2nd legs will be played one week later.


    MLS clubs Los Angeles(MLS Cup winner), Houston(MLS Cup finalist), Sporting KC(Lamar Hunt US Open Cup winner) and the San Jose(Supporters’ Shield winner), along with one of the Canadien teams(winner of the Canadien Cup) will participate in the 2013-14 tourney





    Gold Cup Notes


    Any MLS players that make it onto Gold Cup teams will be away from their teams in July through at least the end of the group stage. The finals are on July 28.


    As usual, MLS will not break during the Gold Cup. I suspect many Gold Cup match days will also have MLS games, including 1 on Gold Cup final day. More on fixture conflict and missing players as the Gold Cup gets closer





    World Cup Notes


    While there are no game day conflicts with CONCACAF World Cup Qualifiers, MLS regular season matches bracket many of the Hex’s match days. Combined with the aforementioned Gold Cup, it makes for a busy schedule for players on national teams. Many rosters will be severely tested this season, so depth will be a key to success.





    Busy Time for Top Players on Top Teams


    As unlikely as it might be, a player that plays on a team in the Gold Cup, CONCACAF Champions League, US Open Cup and CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying could play as many as 25 games in addition to their MLS regular season club duties.



  • 3 Responses to “Take Me Out to the Ballgame – 2013 Prequel”

    • Revs Fan:

      Just wanted to say thank you for maintening this site.

    • Revs Fan,

      Thanks for checking in. Hope you had a good winter. Thanks for the kind words.

      Having lived in New England, pre-MLS, I keep a watch on the Revs. Farrell looked good in the couple of matches I saw him play.

      Curious to see what Heaps does in midfield. Lots of options.

      What happens with Barnes and Alston, the two ‘bright hopes’ of the last few years?

      Happy First Kick.

    • Revs Fan:

      I believe Farrell is the real deal but let’s wait and see. Pre-season games often mean squat. Rowe looked good in pre-season last year but was mediocre on the season.

      I think that Heaps is making it up as it goes. Team has too many midfielders yet cannot hold onto the ball and plays the kick and rush a lot.

      Barnes never played to the expectations and felt being Soares and McCarthy in the pecking order. He will be sub at best.
      Alston is over rated. He is often out of position and relies on his speed to make up for the mistakes. His offensive contributions are atrocious. I am not sure why Heaps has not tried Pollack at left back yet.

      Cannot wait for the season to start. 1st home game on the 23rd …..

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